Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeedcce54e470d2c94db43302d197f427aa198fbac0f0907cbe127f8806020a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 6,674$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes | 49c | 6,132$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,154$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 1,100$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.72 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,041$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 434.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.57 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Yes | 49c | 387.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Yes | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 49c | 130.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…5a90backed Yes | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked No | 54c | 111.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked No | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked No | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 49c | 102.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…f39dbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 51c | 66.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 64.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 53c | 57.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 53c | 40.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…3af3backed Yes | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…4f4cbacked No | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 48c | 22.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.