Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66397f89a1c2194f78a7d37f9044cc9f91479ebfab97f5ded95b669e28e0b458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 48c | 10,469$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 8,538$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.82 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 6,900$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,912$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…07d5backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 54c | 1,781$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.8 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 48c | 1,079$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 47c | 871.39$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.84 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 48c | 833.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 683.01$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 45c | 594.71$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 46c | 412.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…2de2backed Under | 53c | 355$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 54c | 314.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 53c | 308$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 48c | 259.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 202.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 29c | 131.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 45c | 127.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…8df4backed Under | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 126.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Over | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 53c | 92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 39c | 76.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Under | 43c | 59.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked Under | 54c | 55.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 52c | 53.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 50c | 52.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 47.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Under | 53c | 43.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 48c | 30.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 67c | 24.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.