CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Oramond (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe683efba41bb2dfda7cd5fa4fb61a132e974a8c590977e5bdd50cdfd26944f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oramondof ECSTATIC, Oramond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ECSTATIC | 2c | 2,021$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 618.09$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.71 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…1404backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Oramond | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked ECSTATIC | 78c | 499.98$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.98 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Oramond | 27c | 498.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Oramond | 28c | 352.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.94 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Oramond | 21c | 255$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.28 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 253.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Oramond | 9c | 200$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Oramond | 9c | 143.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…4354backed Oramond | 22c | 133.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Oramond | 70c | 115.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…8484backed Oramond | 28c | 106.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oramond | 19c | 103.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Oramond | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Oramond | 22c | 66.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Oramond | 22c | 58.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Oramond | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Oramond | 22c | 49.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed ECSTATIC | 40c | 47.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Oramond | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…db58backed ECSTATIC | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.