Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca5febf445f43ca91bbd7b202b9b53f71153d665063c84cbe373eca058389ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Liquid, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 24,341$7,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,923.8 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid | 53c | 15,945$8,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,484.88 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 8,884$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,095.55 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 8,124$5,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.47 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 69c | 5,505$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.29 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 4,344$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.74 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Liquid | 72c | 2,787$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.89 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 77c | 2,200$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 2,028$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.04 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.82 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…d405backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,854$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,830$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.5 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,750$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.35 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Liquid | 21c | 1,206$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,178$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 1,104$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.29 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Team Liquid | 76c | 974.19$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 872.54$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 814.64$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Liquid | 63c | 799.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 785.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 759.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 711.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.9 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 74c | 675.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 631.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.47 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…729bbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 610.7$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 599.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 546.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Team Liquid | 66c | 511.74$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 468.7$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.25 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 406.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 78c | 359.09$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 350.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.29 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 348.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 344.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 322.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.97 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Team Liquid | 69c | 310.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 302.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 38c | 288.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Team Liquid | 62c | 275.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 271.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…4c3cbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 244.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 213.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 203.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 185.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 72c | 181.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 177.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Liquid | 30c | 149.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 134.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 134.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Team Liquid | 72c | 125.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 110.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 108.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 108.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 108.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid | 71c | 100.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…3fdbbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Team Liquid | 42c | 85.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadee…7719backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 83.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 79.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Team Liquid | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…cd63backed Team Liquid | 71c | 74.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 73.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Liquid | 72c | 67.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 65.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 63.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Team Liquid | 69c | 57.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Team Liquid | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 52.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Team Liquid | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 50.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 64c | 48.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Team Liquid | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Team Liquid | 66c | 43.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…71eebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 40.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.