Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e77384d165aab968d92d2afe16cbff691571911412592ab96bed29297d54b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 13,091$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.08 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 11,698$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.31 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 10,755$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.25 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…cdf3backed Team Nemesis | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…3a9ebacked Team Nemesis | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 8,314$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.68 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 7,902$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 6,645$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 6,508$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.18 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 5,043$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.87 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 4,792$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.75 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 4,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 4,401$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.66 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Team Liquid | 79c | 4,269$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 4,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 3,824$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.09 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 3,818$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.52 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 3,685$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 3,649$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.86 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 3,355$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.75 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…d596backed Team Nemesis | 8c | 2,730$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 2,600$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.63 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.8 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 2,527$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.34 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 2,339$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.79 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 2,149$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…18adbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 2,120$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 2,099$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.18 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,787$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd640…8e24backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,762$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 1,732$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,700$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,689$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79f…ff1bbacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 1,678$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 1,669$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 1,600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,552$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.88 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 1,540$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.73 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,480$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 1,474$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.11 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 1,255$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 1,217$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Liquid | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 993.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.78 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 944.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…6962backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 932.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 899.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 870.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Team Liquid | 78c | 844.9$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 781.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 779.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 652.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 77c | 650.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Liquid | 76c | 632.14$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Team Liquid | 59c | 627.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 609.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 599.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 545.21$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 518.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 503.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Team Liquid | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Team Liquid | 80c | 489.18$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe279…42c5backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 470$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 463.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…e30dbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 461.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…b5dabacked Team Liquid | 79c | 458.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…9ef0backed Team Nemesis | 11c | 448$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 420$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 417.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 404.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Liquid | 78c | 400$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 397.44$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 396.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Team Liquid | 80c | 361.01$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 356$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed Team Nemesis | 7c | 354.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Team Liquid | 59c | 349.15$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 346.58$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 331.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid | 76c | 329.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 327.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Team Nemesis | 6c | 326.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…137fbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 319$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Team Liquid | 59c | 303.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e516backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Liquid | 75c | 299$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…8213backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 292.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.