Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6835008a4775ea8422d948d685dc1cd8b768a13c68b19b00694fc1285cc3b41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid | 72c | 34,111$24,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515.74 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 22,854$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.87 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…cde8backed Team Nemesis | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 17,247$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 4,972$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.07 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 3,753$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.84 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 3,746$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.36 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 2,736$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.05 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 2,079$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.73 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,706$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 1,391$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,389$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 77c | 1,181$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 759.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 694.41$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.19 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Team Liquid | 74c | 655.68$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 641.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 637.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Team Nemesis | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Team Nemesis | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Liquid | 70c | 462.58$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 442.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 417.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 405.78$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 404.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Liquid | 77c | 401.89$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 371.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…d405backed Team Liquid | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…1efcbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 243.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Team Nemesis | 5c | 205.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 187.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 185.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 161.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Liquid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 130.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Liquid | 76c | 129.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 120.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Team Liquid | 75c | 106.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 84.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…8213backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Liquid | 76c | 79.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 77.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Team Liquid | 74c | 71.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Liquid | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…8e8ebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Liquid | 75c | 64.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 58.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Team Liquid | 76c | 46.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Team Liquid | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Team Liquid | 79c | 25.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 78c | 20.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…4c97backed Team Liquid | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.