Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdc66d8bc6a38f5054f1180cd9127638165e483508f650223abe7bdc45339cd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Runa Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee14…8055backed Runa Team | 32c | 8,860$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.15 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 8,025$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.02 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Runa Team | 44c | 8,000$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.67 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Runa Team | 39c | 7,803$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Runa Team | 29c | 6,599$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.34 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 5,922$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.1 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 5,551$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.75 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Runa Team | 28c | 5,176$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Runa Team | 36c | 4,922$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.81 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Runa Team | 34c | 4,771$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.73 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Runa Team | 28c | 4,401$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Runa Team | 48c | 4,123$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.67 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Runa Team | 28c | 3,386$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Runa Team | 39c | 3,318$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.03 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 3,229$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.18 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Runa Team | 19c | 2,850$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.03 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 2,781$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.73 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Runa Team | 33c | 2,531$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.17 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Runa Team | 40c | 2,330$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.64 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 2,201$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.14 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,789$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.27 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,574$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Runa Team | 34c | 1,531$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.31 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Runa Team | 18c | 1,515$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 1,500$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Runa Team | 29c | 1,479$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,370$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,368$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.48 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Runa Team | 32c | 1,221$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.27 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,209$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Runa Team | 60c | 1,194$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.43 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Runa Team | 28c | 1,060$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Runa Team | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Runa Team | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Runa Team | 29c | 905$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 874.88$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Runa Team | 26c | 730.83$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 708.43$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Runa Team | 37c | 699.86$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 649.06$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 625.43$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Runa Team | 25c | 581$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 506.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Runa Team | 28c | 499.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 493.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Runa Team | 41c | 489.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 469.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 468$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Runa Team | 28c | 428.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Runa Team | 24c | 417.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Runa Team | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 385.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Runa Team | 37c | 376.47$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 370.76$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 369$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Runa Team | 44c | 368.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.43 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Runa Team | 28c | 361.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 359.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Runa Team | 20c | 353.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Runa Team | 28c | 350.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 345.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 329.34$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 326.22$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Runa Team | 35c | 317.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Runa Team | 29c | 303.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 298.52$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.43 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Runa Team | 26c | 298.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 296.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 291.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 270.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Runa Team | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d9cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 257.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Runa Team | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 241.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Runa Team | 35c | 239.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…7ed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 231.37$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…8b3abacked Runa Team | 60c | 220.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Runa Team | 29c | 201.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 200.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Runa Team | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Runa Team | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Runa Team | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Runa Team | 24c | 197.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 190.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 2 WinnerRuna Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.