Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b4371e85b2ddf4f267ccb7eabf8a61a7e4db353b46edf8416e211d50360705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Runa Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 7,999$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.79 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 7,600$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.13 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Runa Team | 44c | 6,350$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.91 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Runa Team | 39c | 6,099$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.01 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Runa Team | 50c | 3,893$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Runa Team | 27c | 3,688$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Runa Team | 37c | 3,522$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Runa Team | 37c | 3,499$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.65 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Runa Team | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,179$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.59 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.99 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,793$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.37 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Runa Team | 30c | 1,508$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Runa Team | 63c | 1,459$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,320$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.47 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,004$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.14 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Runa Team | 33c | 928.63$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.97 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Runa Team | 51c | 839.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Runa Team | 34c | 799.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…57e0backed Runa Team | 80c | 744.08$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 729.87$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 701$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.92 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 668.85$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Runa Team | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Runa Team | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 579.64$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.37 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…3dd4backed Runa Team | 37c | 547.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Runa Team | 43c | 531.62$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 526.09$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Runa Team | 31c | 413.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 370.47$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Runa Team | 54c | 369.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 353.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 320.69$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 309.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Runa Team | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 263.26$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 212.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Runa Team | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Runa Team | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 143.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Runa Team | 36c | 135.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b9…1cb4backed Runa Team | 10c | 134.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Runa Team | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 108.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 104.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Runa Team | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Runa Team | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Runa Team | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Runa Team | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Runa Team | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…df94backed Runa Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Runa Team | 46c | 88.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Runa Team | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Runa Team | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e530backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 66.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Runa Team | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Runa Team | 50c | 61.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 57.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…a75ebacked Runa Team | 43c | 53.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Runa Team | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Runa Team | 44c | 42.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Runa Team | 52c | 40.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Runa Team | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Runa Team | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 33.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…6aa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Runa Team | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)Xtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 2 WinnerRuna Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.