NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668e3053bab77ed549652e3c64852e46b491f7deb767ec022bf4a0d6eb298157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.98 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Over | 57c | 5,500$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 52c | 5,392$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.32 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 44c | 5,010$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.47 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 4,741$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.12 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,482$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 4,027$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.55 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under | 49c | 1,019$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Over | 48c | 743.8$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 52c | 585.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…feb4backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 284.41$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 251$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…a7bbbacked Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…ac75backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…8f91backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…fa4bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…d219backed Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…fbc0backed Over | 52c | 191$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…4d81backed Over | 52c | 187$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…0293backed Under | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…c925backed Under | 49c | 176$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…e80cbacked Under | 48c | 173$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…8dc4backed Over | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f1…075bbacked Over | 52c | 164$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…2fd1backed Over | 52c | 163$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Under | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Under | 51c | 48.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x555e…6bb8backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…50d9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…ba00backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.