NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a599d4548711b6010b7058671e7f9d86bf60c178fbcfddb312ddda2a1180093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 53c | 6,486$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.84 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,947$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…f786backed Over | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Under | 53c | 5,807$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 47c | 1,694$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.81 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Over | 45c | 524.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 45c | 387.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…dd4fbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…b87ebacked Over | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…c3a5backed Over | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33e…2e73backed Under | 52c | 168$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4adebacked Under | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Over | 46c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Over | 45c | 112.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 91.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Under | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…88fbbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.