NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274b37c6b070f5355567c82783ed9d4f9606aa93e90615277ec7a420988244b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers | 47c | 41,667$19,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,257.79 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 52c | 23,132$12,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,113.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 53c | 22,552$12,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,023.82 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 51c | 20,351$10,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,315.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed 76ers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Celtics | 51c | 6,862$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 55c | 6,210$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed 76ers | 52c | 5,566$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed 76ers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed 76ers | 44c | 3,225$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 50c | 2,159$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics | 56c | 1,845$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 50c | 1,288$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 49c | 1,196$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed 76ers | 46c | 834.41$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.28 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…3467backed 76ers | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked 76ers | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 48c | 648.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.42 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 53c | 604$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Celtics | 55c | 554.47$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 50c | 552.13$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 50c | 533.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Celtics | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked 76ers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Celtics | 54c | 381.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics | 52c | 345.65$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…8223backed Celtics | 49c | 201$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…10c4backed 76ers | 51c | 193$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Celtics | 55c | 189.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 50c | 172$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Celtics | 57c | 171.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed 76ers | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed 76ers | 45c | 128.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Celtics | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked 76ers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed 76ers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed 76ers | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 49c | 79.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…aec0backed 76ers | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 76ers | 51c | 40.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Celtics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…86debacked 76ers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…feeebacked Celtics | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3895…4025backed 76ers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked 76ers | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked 76ers | 53c | 31.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked 76ers | 52c | 31.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed 76ers | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed 76ers | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…1c3cbacked 76ers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…627bbacked 76ers | 53c | 29.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed 76ers | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…88fbbacked 76ers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…7fe3backed 76ers | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…3ae9backed 76ers | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked 76ers | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- Celtics vs. 76ers76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.