TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Humbertof Humbert, Opelka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Opelka31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Humbert69c12,832$8,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.9210845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Opelka17c8,570$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.928,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Opelka29c3,450$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4917823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Humbert71c3,366$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.231478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Opelka35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Humbert69c2,669$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.3921147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Opelka16c2,435$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.4965242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Opelka16c1,843$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Opelka28c1,750$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906035%21 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5836…27bdbacked Opelka17c1,713$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.14147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-85.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Humbert78c1,156$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Humbert72c1,061$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.3659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Humbert72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Humbert69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Opelka12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Opelka29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Opelka32c936.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.668562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Opelka28c881.02$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6944125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Humbert70c813.65$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.461070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Humbert72c750$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Opelka30c735.74$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7236440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Opelka35c650.83$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7912752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x793e…40e5backed Opelka19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Opelka30c518.14$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6713934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Opelka31c487.91$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5518439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Opelka28c472.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2873048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Humbert64c432.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.887335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Humbert67c427.83$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85fb…7c3abacked Humbert72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed Humbert71c413.18$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.821457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Humbert69c400.86$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8117538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Humbert69c382.81$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.58537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Opelka32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Opelka24c362.42$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Humbert70c349.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.311,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Humbert72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2220257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Opelka22c303.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9315832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Humbert70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.716752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Humbert71c280.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.762941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Humbert72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.783948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Opelka38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Opelka27c261.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.689546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Humbert69c254.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3455143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Humbert71c235.21$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2138356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Humbert74c229.43$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.932,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Humbert72c223.14$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Humbert72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.335450%27 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Opelka29c206$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.361,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Humbert69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6228451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Opelka33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-76.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Humbert70c195.5$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.133461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d37…6fcdbacked Humbert70c170$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Opelka15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Humbert72c165.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab9…b93dbacked Humbert65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898d…f6a5backed Humbert71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Humbert68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.068562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc4…701abacked Opelka29c146$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c6…0bafbacked Humbert69c144.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Humbert70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Humbert71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Humbert71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Humbert72c139.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6743158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Opelka31c129.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.422840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Opelka32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd046…cbe5backed Opelka34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Opelka9c117.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Humbert71c113.42$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.581,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Humbert71c109.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8649955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Opelka34c109.2$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1412256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Humbert74c107.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3312974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Humbert71c99.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.767664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Humbert68c95.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.595050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Humbert70c95.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Opelka30c93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.94351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Humbert72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfbd…92dabacked Humbert68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Humbert68c78.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Opelka32c78.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9900…2ea9backed Opelka20c77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Humbert71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Opelka31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Opelka32c62.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d89…3e65backed Opelka32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c48…327abacked Opelka34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9517…7960backed Opelka19c58.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed Humbert67c57.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.063458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Opelka36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Opelka37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Opelka39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Opelka30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cba…b0e4backed Opelka20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be2…4c5bbacked Opelka20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a4…52f7backed Humbert66c45.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.763669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Opelka39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f80…4da7backed Humbert72c33.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Humbert69c32.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Humbert69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.886759.7%40 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Humbert70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.