Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfee9741b18e8571e39a98744c07234f150b0f6b363932aa286b600ec89a71b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Viktoria Plzeňof AS Roma, FC Viktoria Plzeň
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 48c | 1,476$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.08 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed AS Roma | 53c | 440$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed AS Roma | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 50c | 301$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed AS Roma | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked AS Roma | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 49c | 125$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed AS Roma | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed AS Roma | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed AS Roma | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70f…a504backed AS Roma | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…e65abacked AS Roma | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed AS Roma | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked AS Roma | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…7e70backed AS Roma | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2e28backed AS Roma | 50c | 28.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed FC Viktoria Plzeň | 50c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)this page
- AS Roma vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.