NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fb574c8293011dd3f4a7dd02c1dd1d13d6a1162312ee11c88a33b730ed9f5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Vikings | 54c | 122,219$65,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,989.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Eagles | 49c | 39,393$19,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,094.45 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Eagles | 46c | 25,051$11,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,527.68 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Eagles | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Eagles | 46c | 13,460$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,268.4 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eagles | 50c | 9,414$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.08 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles | 47c | 5,021$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.84 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Eagles | 46c | 4,480$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.06 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Eagles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 4c | 1,895$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vikings | 51c | 1,379$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.17 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Eagles | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.04 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Vikings | 49c | 1,189$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.03 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Vikings | 51c | 1,001$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.31 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Eagles | 46c | 992$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Vikings | 53c | 979.8$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 46c | 948.16$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.01 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Vikings | 53c | 608.47$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Eagles | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Vikings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Eagles | 42c | 569.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Vikings | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Eagles | 48c | 521.61$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Eagles | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…508abacked Eagles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vikings | 53c | 322.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Eagles | 47c | 283.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Vikings | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Eagles | 59c | 236$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Eagles | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Vikings | 52c | 208.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab3…c084backed Vikings | 53c | 132.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…cc6bbacked Eagles | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Eagles | 46c | 107.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eagles | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 46c | 66.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Eagles | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Vikings | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…796abacked Eagles | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Vikings | 51c | 52.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Eagles | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Eagles | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…7b41backed Vikings | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vikings | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…224bbacked Vikings | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eagles | 46c | 27.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Vikings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)this page
- Eagles vs. VikingsEagles won
- Eagles vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.