NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4236da15941bb7722a3f62700867e03a5ea23c425d830f1f84976b64c29d135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vikings | 48c | 3,293$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.39 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 48c | 2,758$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.51 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Eagles | 52c | 2,370$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Eagles | 51c | 1,842$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.58 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Vikings | 50c | 1,442$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Eagles | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vikings | 46c | 648.15$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Eagles | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vikings | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Eagles | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Eagles | 51c | 279.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Eagles | 53c | 213.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Vikings | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Vikings | 50c | 200.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Vikings | 50c | 197.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vikings | 48c | 196.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Eagles | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Vikings | 49c | 159$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Eagles | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Eagles | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Vikings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Vikings | 48c | 100.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…76a0backed Eagles | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Eagles | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Vikings | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Vikings | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Eagles | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Eagles | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Vikings | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Eagles | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Eagles | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…d83fbacked Eagles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Eagles | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…9311backed Eagles | 51c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Vikings | 48c | 26.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…eb97backed Eagles | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Vikings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)this page
- Eagles vs. VikingsEagles won
- Eagles vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-2.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.