Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e663c32f55194f7ee5603b80ca10b31ccb171328c130ba4dfe185f29fc48a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Valencia, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Valencia | 54c | 2,773$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 43c | 1,466$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.32 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.19 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 47c | 1,140$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.95 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…8230backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Valencia | 58c | 829.26$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 50c | 447$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 50c | 400.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Valencia | 40c | 373.01$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Valencia | 54c | 247.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 222$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Valencia | 49c | 218.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Valencia | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Valencia | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Valencia | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed Valencia | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…559abacked Valencia | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…ee66backed Valencia | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Valencia | 54c | 91.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…41c6backed Valencia | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…2144backed Valencia | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…ef16backed Valencia | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…33b4backed Valencia | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…6e54backed Valencia | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…4f84backed Valencia | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…d575backed Valencia | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…2400backed Valencia | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 69.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valencia | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Valencia | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.