TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes47c156,069$73,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,352.522035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No53c129,406$68,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,820.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c51,726$27,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,339.514,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes48c32,017$15,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,447.1711055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No53c11,270$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,272.9815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes39c4,667$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.87443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No61c3,207$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.2827453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes48c3,093$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes39c2,538$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes44c2,266$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.041520%3 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-65.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c2,105$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked No51c1,907$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Yes49c1,700$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes48c1,552$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…b7febacked Yes49c1,504$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…24c6backed No52c1,504$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No61c1,324$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c1,235$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.543,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c1,213$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.8950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ea…a857backed No52c989.98$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes49c948.03$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46014759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes38c899.21$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3408550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39214854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No55c630.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8813728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No62c627.89$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3117155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No54c546.53$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8121955.7%122 W · 97 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No50c522$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda29…30febacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4635…a60abacked Yes32c505$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7711457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ad…80f6backed No52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.773966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Yes47c428.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…4eedbacked Yes48c412.92$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c393.67$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No67c379.33$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes35c310$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aef…06f8backed Yes47c291.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed No52c277.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.363473.5%25 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No53c264.36$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.068961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes27c219.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.17525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes35c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d82…7d33backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No51c163.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes46c156.89$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4216926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Yes38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09fb…94acbacked Yes50c129.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027144.6%121 W · 150 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ba…2589backed Yes41c119.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+108.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd57…a167backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes43c112.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.438552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe617…51bcbacked Yes40c111.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes49c109$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d61…2cadbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb0…c007backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes48c87.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0915563.2%98 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4815851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes44c69.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.716833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes45c66.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2912956.6%73 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173458.8%20 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb48…19b3backed No52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b2…16bcbacked Yes46c43.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes46c43.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes46c43.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47b0…0237backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e5…1f13backed Yes47c42.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d3…3db7backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…a5e6backed Yes48c41.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.689560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029443.2%127 W · 167 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5187…a3f5backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c40.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4575157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…2f76backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976f…77ddbacked No51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes49c34.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.029637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.