La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4903faa8fb1c691483cbec872d866387dfc64fd94e93d4272338b973386ea0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 29c | 1,928$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…357bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…42dcbacked No | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c09…8264backed Yes | 29c | 1,567$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…3805backed No | 71c | 1,567$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 1,428$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.93 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 1,024$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.14 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 888.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.95 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 723.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.52 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…fbd6backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3050backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked No | 48c | 594.88$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 530$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 48c | 451.53$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.79 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 428$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 308$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 296.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 60c | 268.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 254.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…b851backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 34c | 194.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…36e7backed Yes | 53c | 139.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Yes | 42c | 118.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 41c | 118.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 56c | 61.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 70c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 46.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 29c | 35.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebe…5369backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.