Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993df2d077a3f8839ccdc81acaa6e02ff8d9cee4d6bda933c4ff898a29e5ef4d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Hereticsof Team Vitality, Team Heretics
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Vitality	43c	6,985$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.91	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Heretics	45c	6,551$2,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,603.22	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Heretics	51c	3,471$1,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,704.65	260	50%130 W · 130 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Heretics	61c	3,091$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,196.82	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Heretics	67c	2,156$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.4	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Team Vitality	44c	1,650$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.31	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Team Heretics	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.15	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics	55c	1,450$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.31	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality	51c	1,403$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.83	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Team Vitality	55c	1,229$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	144	52.1%75 W · 69 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Team Vitality	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Vitality	55c	999.99$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-41%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Heretics	59c	864.92$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.4	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality	48c	834.36$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.11	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Vitality	54c	798.45$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.24	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Team Vitality	41c	783.49$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.63	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-8.4wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Vitality	6c	757.46$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	600	22.7%136 W · 464 L	-26.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Team Vitality	58c	689.66$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Team Vitality	53c	541.63$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.69	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Vitality	53c	511.66$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.07	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Vitality	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	244	57.8%141 W · 103 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Team Vitality	55c	499.99$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Heretics	51c	499.43$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.49	533	55.3%295 W · 238 L	+24.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Vitality	39c	466.33$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.27	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Heretics	58c	462.63$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.29	218	59.2%129 W · 89 L	+14.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Team Vitality	37c	450$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.5	146	45.2%66 W · 80 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Vitality	48c	419.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.02	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…fc90backed Team Heretics	48c	399.98$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	33cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Heretics	51c	398.55$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	563	57.9%326 W · 237 L	+36.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Team Vitality	53c	374.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed Team Vitality	57c	363.9$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.09	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Vitality	41c	334.93$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.32	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Heretics	46c	332.63$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.62	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3762…1b2ebacked Team Heretics	71c	319$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.35	9	100%9 W · 0 L	+3.1wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Heretics	46c	304.35$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.35	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Team Heretics	61c	300$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	180	49.4%89 W · 91 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Vitality	54c	298.14$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-9.0wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdef2…98e0backed Team Vitality	43c	279.07$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fb…3d52backed Team Vitality	55c	237.45$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Team Vitality	42c	235.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Team Vitality	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Team Heretics	76c	193.53$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.45	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Vitality	38c	189.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe136…6d09backed Team Vitality	55c	181.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ec…5633backed Team Vitality	51c	176.63$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	54cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Heretics	73c	168.8$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	63cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe132…abf3backed Team Heretics	52c	158.37$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.55	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Team Heretics	63c	154.29$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.69	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Team Vitality	55c	150$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.15	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-9.8wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Team Vitality	52c	132.62$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.96	57	68.4%39 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Team Heretics	58c	124.27$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.66	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics	40c	123.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.45	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Team Heretics	45c	119.02$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.02	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Team Heretics	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Vitality	47c	100.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.51	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Team Heretics	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.75	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Team Vitality	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Vitality	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Team Vitality	45c	94.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.38	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Team Vitality	53c	94.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Team Heretics	48c	83.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Heretics	63c	82.54$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.54	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…8e98backed Team Heretics	53c	81.6$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b09…5f9cbacked Team Vitality	63c	79.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Team Heretics	45c	78.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad05…71eabacked Team Vitality	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9283…97edbacked Team Vitality	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…9f99backed Team Vitality	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-7.3wins	-0.38per pick	59cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x52c8…6e5fbacked Team Vitality	55c	59.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.99	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Team Heretics	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7f…e1edbacked Team Vitality	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed Team Vitality	53c	50.71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed Team Vitality	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-8.0wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Team Vitality	51c	48.93$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	306	52.3%160 W · 146 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Heretics	46c	44.6$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.99	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa30e…7153backed Team Vitality	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Team Heretics	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Team Vitality	47c	37.9$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Team Heretics	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Team Heretics	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Vitality	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Vitality	41c	28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a52…0538backed Team Vitality	56c	27.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Heretics	52c	27.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.99	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb99a…a350backed Team Heretics	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+87.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x272f…b0debacked Team Heretics	54c	21.84$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+86.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winnerthis page
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Heretics won
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 3 WinnerTeam Vitality won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event