Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5158e25a331d49633d915f9b0e036447d883b9ee7511ae965fc10a9eed35b78a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof KRÜ Esports, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 2,200$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.77 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Esports | 31c | 1,328$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 1,325$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.46 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 71c | 1,165$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.97 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports | 32c | 1,137$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.39 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed NRG | 73c | 630.13$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 74c | 622.56$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed KRÜ Esports | 22c | 609.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked NRG | 75c | 556.42$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 75c | 515.86$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG | 78c | 408.42$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked NRG | 65c | 383.12$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.57 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +8.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed NRG | 77c | 276$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 75c | 251.81$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed NRG | 67c | 242.51$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed NRG | 70c | 241.51$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked KRÜ Esports | 26c | 235.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 74c | 219.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed NRG | 73c | 219$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KRÜ Esports | 28c | 209.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed NRG | 74c | 200.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Esports | 21c | 191.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 70c | 180.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked KRÜ Esports | 35c | 168.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 69c | 168.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 69c | 168.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…5633backed NRG | 68c | 163.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 61c | 141.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…c1d8backed KRÜ Esports | 11c | 135.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 79c | 126.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed KRÜ Esports | 37c | 120.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed KRÜ Esports | 26c | 117.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed NRG | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed KRÜ Esports | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed NRG | 63c | 80.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed KRÜ Esports | 35c | 79.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KRÜ Esports | 26c | 69.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked KRÜ Esports | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed NRG | 62c | 58.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked NRG | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed KRÜ Esports | 30c | 43.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked KRÜ Esports | 25c | 43.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad05…71eabacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG | 62c | 32.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed NRG | 56c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked NRG | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 60c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed NRG | 64c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.