Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f734d61128fa1272f73ae95bb5ed7a230d546a352f06be5908b51e5dd99cee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe39a…efc1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed Yes | 33c | 7,670$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.85 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 18c | 6,518$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.52 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 21c | 6,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 6,377$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.38 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 17c | 5,814$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.75 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 5,365$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.51 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 43c | 5,235$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.34 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 56c | 5,071$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.73 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 43c | 4,367$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.14 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 28c | 4,025$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.69 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 36c | 3,814$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.46 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 3,427$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.09 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 53c | 2,912$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.18 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 67c | 2,780$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.47 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…cdcabacked Yes | 67c | 2,701$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 2,693$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.52 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,443$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.97 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 14c | 2,415$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.85 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 2,268$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.4 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 61c | 2,251$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.18 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 77c | 2,220$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.36 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 8c | 2,045$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.29 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 20c | 2,044$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.21 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 55c | 1,900$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.49 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,856$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,837$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 240 | 1.7%4 W · 236 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +675.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked No | 9c | 1,605$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.77 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,599$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked No | 8c | 1,562$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.43 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 20c | 1,535$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.41 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 23c | 1,460$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.84 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 37c | 1,347$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.69 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,333$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,159$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.07 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 1,159$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.95 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.01 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,094$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.78 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 9c | 1,037$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.02 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 79c | 1,005$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.5 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 18c | 992.03$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.85 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…274ebacked Yes | 70c | 980.16$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 7c | 970.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.15 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 19c | 930.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 25c | 928.93$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.89 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 40c | 915.29$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.14 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 906.17$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 898.07$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed No | 44c | 837.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.62 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed Yes | 38c | 828.72$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 56c | 823.52$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.26 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 28c | 780.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.65 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 14c | 702.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.37 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 78c | 640$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.68 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 34c | 631.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.43 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544a…dbe1backed No | 20c | 602.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.67 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 10c | 599.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…a929backed No | 14c | 570$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 60c | 555.17$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7813backed Yes | 63c | 546.93$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.51 | 159 | 28.3%45 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 77c | 518.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…2f8abacked Yes | 10c | 506$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…4666backed No | 12c | 505.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 40c | 499.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 51c | 490$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 47c | 489.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 55c | 479.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…078abacked Yes | 35c | 478.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.31 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 55c | 455.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked No | 27c | 441.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.66 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…c314backed Yes | 80c | 439.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 36c | 434.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 6c | 424$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…adc0backed Yes | 11c | 423.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 21c | 423.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.82 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca2…20e6backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…6520backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 375$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 40c | 374.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 60c | 366.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 40c | 364.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 45c | 364.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…273dbacked Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 204 | 32.4%66 W · 138 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 58c | 343.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5fbcbacked No | 7c | 336.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +420.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 322.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 65c | 316.19$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 10c | 315.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 60c | 315.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 77c | 300.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 39c | 294.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 35c | 287.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.