Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c1640fa4ad83c7b3f6381114fe4e86295ff4a5ecde791378bce0c6a729a45f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 22,200$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.13 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,066$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.12 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 1c | 8,534$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 1c | 5,799$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…645cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,748$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 7c | 4,704$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.69 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 4,198$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Yes | 1c | 3,889$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 202 | 26.7%54 W · 148 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 3,486$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…307cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,322$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 278 | 5%14 W · 264 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,217$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…718ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,115$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,996$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,782$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,732$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,689$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 7c | 2,642$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.28 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,589$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 7c | 2,487$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 5c | 2,384$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,287$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,235$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed Yes | 5c | 2,097$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 6c | 2,074$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,962$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 11c | 1,871$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed No | 71c | 1,843$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,660$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…efe5backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,502$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,197$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 1c | 1,094$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,076$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 4c | 1,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,039$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 8c | 1,008$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 858.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 826.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 12c | 800$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked Yes | 5c | 800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 6c | 793.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 7c | 769.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 30c | 766.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 3c | 749.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…6085backed Yes | 7c | 731.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 21c | 705.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1d…fa38backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 18c | 684.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes | 9c | 679.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 3c | 620.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 23c | 540$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked No | 79c | 500.39$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 207 | 23.7%49 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c2bbbacked Yes | 21c | 477.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 459.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…65f2backed Yes | 33c | 451.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…9dd3backed Yes | 5c | 438.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…19acbacked Yes | 6c | 434.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 23c | 426.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 8c | 413.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 5c | 400.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 390$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…e7b4backed Yes | 5c | 354.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 9c | 352.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 66c | 325.85$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 3c | 318.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…128ebacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…edf9backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 8c | 295.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 653 | 11%72 W · 581 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 15c | 293.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…5972backed Yes | 17c | 288.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 13c | 288.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes | 7c | 271.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes | 27c | 270$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 10c | 270$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…1537backed Yes | 6c | 257.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 159 | 18.9%30 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 30c | 256.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…2934backed Yes | 10c | 252.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 167 | 16.2%27 W · 140 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…13fbbacked Yes | 7c | 249.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 73c | 241.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 199 | 27.6%55 W · 144 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 17c | 222.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 71c | 221.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes | 24c | 221.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 431 | 26.2%113 W · 318 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…9446backed Yes | 9c | 219.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 19c | 217.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b15…6668backed Yes | 25c | 208.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.