Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f0d56feb5e1ebbbe8080d8cb273f6570c714b0b01d62f55f8226276668efcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 17c | 11,722$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,676.37 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed Yes | 70c | 10,427$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.72 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 9,815$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,515.35 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 8c | 7,100$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.73 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 5c | 7,009$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,644.58 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 6,914$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,373.34 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes | 7c | 6,893$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.64 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 6,339$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.27 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,069$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.38 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…f36abacked Yes | 7c | 6,030$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,593.94 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 13c | 6,023$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,225.9 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 5,357$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.47 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 17c | 5,197$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.48 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 7c | 4,620$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.85 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 34c | 4,615$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.63 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,764$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.37 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 16c | 3,763$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.98 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 9c | 3,710$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.44 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 25c | 3,634$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.69 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 28c | 3,459$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.81 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed No | 21c | 3,390$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 8c | 2,981$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.19 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 2,963$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.1 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 37c | 2,907$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.13 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 8c | 2,701$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.88 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 2,698$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.26 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…2d43backed Yes | 11c | 2,677$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 18c | 2,578$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.95 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,499$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.22 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 52c | 2,497$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.15 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 64c | 2,461$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.41 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 35c | 2,407$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.93 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 2,274$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.92 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,208$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.98 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…6a71backed Yes | 5c | 2,104$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.13 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 5c | 2,093$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.19 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,070$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.84 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 1,961$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.49 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,881$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.22 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…f982backed No | 68c | 1,802$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.95 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 8c | 1,676$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.33 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,666$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.19 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed No | 28c | 1,488$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,383$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.75 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed Yes | 14c | 1,381$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…c563backed Yes | 9c | 1,296$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…3588backed Yes | 78c | 1,287$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,261$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.61 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.86 | 152 | 21.1%32 W · 120 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 6c | 1,209$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.6 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 1,159$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.69 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 1,094$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.2 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,013$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.82 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes | 18c | 988.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.59 | 187 | 26.7%50 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 5c | 900$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.46 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 8c | 856.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.03 | 132 | 15.9%21 W · 111 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 4c | 856.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.19 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9e…fa03backed Yes | 9c | 816.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.18 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 77c | 800.17$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 9c | 772.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.72 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 758.95$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.13 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked Yes | 6c | 737.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.18 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 8c | 727.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.29 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…1e9fbacked No | 79c | 718.1$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…a071backed Yes | 7c | 718.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.38 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 18c | 711.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.82 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…0190backed Yes | 6c | 700$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…3978backed Yes | 9c | 697.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.77 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 9c | 665.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.43 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 32c | 636.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…274ebacked Yes | 44c | 627.54$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 79c | 625.03$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1898…4666backed Yes | 40c | 620.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…5a68backed Yes | 6c | 608.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…cfafbacked Yes | 31c | 576.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Yes | 10c | 571.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 156 | 31.4%49 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…c9a0backed Yes | 50c | 571.9$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 53c | 565.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.34 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…146cbacked Yes | 27c | 553.95$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.54 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 548.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.13 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 25c | 545.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.54 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 17c | 524.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.15 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…eb16backed Yes | 6c | 512.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 116 | 13.8%16 W · 100 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed Yes | 20c | 503.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.27 | 167 | 41.3%69 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed Yes | 37c | 500$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.97 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…0465backed Yes | 25c | 499.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 17c | 483.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.53 | 267 | 22.8%61 W · 206 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 26c | 482.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 479.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.89 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…16b6backed Yes | 4c | 472.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1,082.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed Yes | 7c | 470.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.46 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292f…918dbacked Yes | 8c | 468.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.41 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 10c | 468.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 466.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.58 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 7c | 455.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 39c | 427.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.71 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.