Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf6818b0463b3f4502f50f62457ccb774ca249badf05d3a63732dda29ecfb042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Ninjas in Pyjamas, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 21,255$14,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.71 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 16,926$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.65 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 10,040$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.6 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 10,010$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.31 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 5,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 4,240$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.15 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 4,029$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 3,400$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 2,816$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.64 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 1,608$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.45 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,072$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,062$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 789.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 623.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.71 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 506.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 489.28$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 410$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 403.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed EDward Gaming | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 399.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 376.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 312.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 197 | 38.6%76 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 153.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed EDward Gaming | 70c | 147.13$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 135.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 131.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 115.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed EDward Gaming | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 107.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 106.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked EDward Gaming | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked EDward Gaming | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed EDward Gaming | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked EDward Gaming | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…6f1bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 44.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 44.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 35.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…398fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 34.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…1a7bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 30c | 33.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed EDward Gaming | 72c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.