Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa61866278604228d85697018b1086fb70f582048423bddb848d29504a17003b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 33c | 1,946$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.2 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 67c | 1,117$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.17 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 12c | 879.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 36c | 599.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 76c | 506.34$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 19c | 380.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Over | 64c | 318.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 66c | 306.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Over | 67c | 243$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 67c | 233$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 64c | 194.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 67c | 171.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 21c | 160.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 67c | 150.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 34c | 116.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 34c | 85.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 60.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 67c | 53.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 62c | 43.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 34c | 35.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 29.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 67c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-InEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.