Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6089fb26d6fba0df34cc993d9a6715018e439fbf640628e7c9bdfdb79fa82cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 91,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 21,829$16,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.37 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 16,301$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 14,898$10,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,092$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 76c | 3,303$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,098$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 7c | 3,020$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 2,874$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.91 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 24c | 2,568$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.24 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 77c | 2,201$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 23c | 2,094$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Yes | 5c | 1,963$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 78c | 1,851$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.54 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,760$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…04e3backed No | 76c | 1,702$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 25c | 1,188$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 35c | 1,125$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 1,115$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 1,084$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 1,050$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 75c | 1,015$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 705.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 608$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 25c | 584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Yes | 25c | 584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 25c | 568$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 25c | 508$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes | 12c | 500.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed No | 76c | 486.3$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 474.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 28c | 458.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 24c | 434.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 422.15$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 412$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 32c | 411.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 79c | 390.47$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 25c | 387.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 25c | 387.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 75c | 334.28$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 316.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…ebdebacked No | 75c | 309$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 299.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 284.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…c2febacked No | 76c | 271$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 24c | 255$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked No | 77c | 250.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 21c | 243$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 21c | 233.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 78c | 223.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 24c | 208.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 5c | 205.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…648ebacked Yes | 26c | 203.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 201.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 5c | 200.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 195.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…4db8backed Yes | 26c | 187.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…1c0bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 172.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Yes | 29c | 172.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 25c | 172$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…4904backed No | 76c | 169.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…f810backed Yes | 29c | 155.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…0934backed Yes | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 153.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.