MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8151448835d86bd930bfe4ccae07ca8cf54b1b1e0b943707a74c03337820d932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Detroit Tigers, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 65,206$28,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,515.52 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 34,109$14,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,783.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 27,663$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,636.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 26,775$14,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,994 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,222.22 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Detroit Tigers | 27c | 20,000$5,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,413.89 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 16,258$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,941.78 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 13,000$5,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 12,771$7,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Detroit Tigers | 10c | 12,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 24c | 12,086$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 11,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 10,331$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 44c | 8,462$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 6,824$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.61 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 5,522$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.72 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 5,400$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 5,318$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.33 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,204$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 4,850$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.11 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 4,449$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 4,375$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 3,657$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,930$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.47 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 2,930$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.12 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,805$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.26 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,790$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.21 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 2,523$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.39 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,317$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,104$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.2 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 2,054$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 1,584$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,500$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,480$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 1,142$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.53 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 999.9$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 963.28$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 874.52$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.99 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 839.36$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.57 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 785.79$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 725.67$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 721.37$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd545…7d3bbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 720$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 719.98$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.19 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 676.62$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.44 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Detroit Tigers | 17c | 666.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 15c | 657.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 623$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…4581backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 619.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 619.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.32 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 606.47$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 600$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 599.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 599$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 580.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 571.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.41 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 532.71$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.32 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 510.2$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 510.2$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 447.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 441.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 403$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 403$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 371.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 368$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.08 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 349.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 348$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…1223backed Detroit Tigers | 16c | 339.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 334.42$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 331.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 319.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 313.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.95 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 311.31$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 310.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 300.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 299.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.