MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7eadef1b162f0763a5f15074176974ce7ac6911710660641ab5dd28286bc6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 53c | 142,876$75,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,491 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 11,628$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 8,410$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.09 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 7,697$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,002.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 50c | 6,368$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.92 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Under | 47c | 5,650$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.38 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 5,309$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.68 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 2,686$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.76 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 50c | 2,035$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.54 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.85 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 1,962$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,530$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,509$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.55 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 825$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 669.87$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 620.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.49 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 500.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 500.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 460.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Over | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 324.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 47c | 260.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Under | 49c | 210.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 51c | 196.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…ec01backed Under | 52c | 190.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 51c | 156.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…f62ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Under | 48c | 141.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 59c | 117.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 114.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 98.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 54c | 87.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 86.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 61c | 79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 42c | 74.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 72.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 62.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Under | 49c | 48.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 50c | 41.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 42c | 37.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 53c | 35.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 54c | 33.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 57c | 33.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Under | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Under | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Under | 47c | 30.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…7bf6backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 41c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 56c | 25.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 55c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 51c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…15adbacked Over | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…3fc9backed Under | 50c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 60c | 20.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 63c | 18.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.