TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cleveland Guardiansof Detroit Tigers, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,619 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers43c7,342$3,123 inLost-$3,123.1411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Cleveland Guardians58c6,500$3,770 inWon+$2,729.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians56c2,200$1,232 inWon+$96886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians54c1,310$707 inWon+$602.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers46c1,200$552 inLost-$5525,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers43c1,044$453 inLost-$453.323,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Detroit Tigers46c1,014$466 inLost-$466.383948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians56c896.93$502 inWon+$394.6536048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians54c874.48$472 inWon+$402.2612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians57c626.58$360 inWon+$266.584,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians56c609.57$341 inWon+$268.215,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Detroit Tigers46c506.94$233 inLost-$233.194854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers44c420$185 inLost-$184.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers44c398.76$175 inLost-$175.456,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers42c300$126 inLost-$1268,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers43c298.98$129 inLost-$128.563,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Detroit Tigers44c225$99 inLost-$991,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cleveland Guardians58c200$116 inWon+$841,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers43c150$65 inLost-$64.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Detroit Tigers46c134.57$62 inLost-$61.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Guardians58c120.69$70 inWon+$50.691,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers42c112$47 inLost-$47.042,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Cleveland Guardians55c108.23$60 inWon+$48.2850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers44c100$44 inLost-$4468942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians69c79.56$55 inWon+$24.745,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Detroit Tigers46c63$29 inLost-$28.9829242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians49c60.78$30 inWon+$31.278,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Cleveland Guardians58c32.57$19 inWon+$13.5616450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Cleveland Guardians57c22.34$13 inWon+$9.554748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Cleveland Guardians59c22.07$13 inWon+$9.0514555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Cleveland Guardians58c22$13 inWon+$9.2472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians69c16$11 inWon+$4.965,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.