TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c22,876$9,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,829.234,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over57c15,000$8,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,522.73441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over66c12,216$8,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,087.426468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c6,682$4,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,137.4356439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under20c6,670$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,335.2412020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under18c4,165$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.8323152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c3,846$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.053,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c3,840$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.018351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over61c3,199$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89ce…2edfbacked Under47c2,422$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over53c2,400$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over44c2,256$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under75c2,062$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5203141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,846$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.9382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over57c1,518$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.334544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over50c1,346$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.8560%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over77c1,221$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9403447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under16c1,216$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.596163.9%39 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over74c1,180$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over67c1,063$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7123354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c880.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7798833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under67c877$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1913151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c650.28$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2368050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over80c626.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over68c596.34$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5119258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over25c596$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.337829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under25c563.52$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.641650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c501.05$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.511,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under80c479.57$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9183640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.536334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c395.61$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over78c385.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over26c359.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.995435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed Over57c345.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.585050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x094c…8031backed Over30c316.23$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c312.69$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7439338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6913051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11423255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e43…c324backed Over40c229.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under42c227.43$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under75c217.76$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9820043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c200.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.11,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under19c199.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.962552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under39c189.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…0146backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over49c177.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8722350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under55c160.37$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.375451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under23c154.81$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2113230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over54c151.85$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.520252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over70c143.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under17c140$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.21931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over80c130$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under39c116.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6912052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over38c115$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b11…c845backed Over52c114.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d81…c50fbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under17c111.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.226836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under20c108.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.953246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506450%32 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over61c86.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf614…47bebacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over33c79.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over59c77.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6437348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over64c75.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9419865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Under20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under17c60.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6b…b79ebacked Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c54.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under29c48.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.192748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over62c45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.97251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under48c42.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0811366.4%75 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8aa…20f6backed Under45c37.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under37c37.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.841330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…5aebbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under35c35.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.