La Liga · resolved market
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f1088de25c19a3c7aa51662107dfce597c8d40dfc588db8a1f18d2f24558c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deportivo Alavésof FC Barcelona, Deportivo Alavés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Barcelona | 18c | 6,290$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.14 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 5,174$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked FC Barcelona | 25c | 2,040$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 1,731$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.06 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 1,672$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Deportivo Alavés | 78c | 1,616$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked FC Barcelona | 20c | 1,592$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.76 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed FC Barcelona | 12c | 1,400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 1,244$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.53 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Deportivo Alavés | 79c | 599.9$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 470.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 429.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…f866backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 405.74$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 314.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 187.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked FC Barcelona | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…3870backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 143.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC Barcelona | 13c | 133.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed FC Barcelona | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 130.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FC Barcelona | 23c | 99.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 90.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 83.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…cfe7backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 70.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…459dbacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 69.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Deportivo Alavés | 77c | 68.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 68.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2f18backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 51.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…0f7dbacked FC Barcelona | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 73c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…2c90backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed FC Barcelona | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 34.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 32.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Deportivo Alavés | 78c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…3702backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Deportivo Alavés | 75c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a2…7460backed Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Deportivo Alavés | 74c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Deportivo Alavés | 76c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.