TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over61c85,297$51,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,688.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c14,289$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,848.354,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c10,996$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,656.272,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c10,714$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,767.883,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c7,173$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.9383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under39c4,096$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.0735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under39c4,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under39c3,200$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95211054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under40c3,149$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.1868450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under39c2,795$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.7114146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c2,600$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.3364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under39c2,400$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4649457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c2,267$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.5757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under40c1,910$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.7440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under40c1,892$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.9222455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over53c1,824$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.6412650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Over55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de2…970ebacked Over5c1,688$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under56c1,450$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under39c1,400$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85410760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73210558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under39c1,184$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.246360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c1,150$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.6475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c1,109$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.528041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over60c1,095$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.896160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over52c1,082$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.64544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c1,065$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.0748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c1,043$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.848351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under41c1,005$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.9422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5304235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6107358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under39c900.59$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.1322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48812159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48810257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under36c765.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.746756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over45c654.53$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under39c641$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c641$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.011,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under41c640$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7813230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under39c611.63$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3312863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under40c609.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.198347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3669056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…d145backed Under59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.22850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over54c560.19$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under39c520$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under39c520$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.29556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30512066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under65c461.2$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.32556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under38c446.76$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over61c440.98$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2694766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b01…e682backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+42.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under40c430.7$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.774242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c411.32$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.241,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed Over59c400.18$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.182850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.146858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c356$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8699933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c343$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.311,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under39c320$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.29753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under39c315.46$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.6645450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under49c314$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under39c312$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.329660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under39c312$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.329354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over62c305.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.571241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c299.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c299.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under47c295.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.721650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+68.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c281.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Over25c251.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.870%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under42c229.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c203$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8638748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Over61c201.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under40c201.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9113347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1228758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under39c199.98$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.993834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under40c195$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.094852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under39c194.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3310843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over61c192.33$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5219865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c185.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under40c184.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Over38c180$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over31c178$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c165.82$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…a212backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under39c160$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.69060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under39c160$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.68457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under39c160$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.65158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.