MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf413a58d7a26ed88a973178d4f5cb5c2f34a9480a2d52e72666c2744a0ed6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed LG Twins | 60c | 2,063$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.94 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 69c | 1,312$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.02 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 69c | 993.85$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 821.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed LG Twins | 68c | 799.97$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.98 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 697.27$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed LG Twins | 26c | 693.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed LG Twins | 23c | 573.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 75c | 562.69$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.61 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 67c | 547.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.37 | 394 | 56.9%224 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 529.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 411.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed LG Twins | 52c | 344.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed LG Twins | 68c | 317.65$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 304.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed LG Twins | 50c | 299.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed LG Twins | 14c | 297.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked LG Twins | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 276.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.44 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked LG Twins | 15c | 259.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 14c | 251.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 233.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 225.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 210$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 18c | 184.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 155.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked LG Twins | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 33c | 149.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed LG Twins | 65c | 149.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked LG Twins | 68c | 146.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed LG Twins | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LG Twins | 32c | 112.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…d646backed LG Twins | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 96.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 90.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked LG Twins | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed LG Twins | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 53.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…5db7backed LG Twins | 43c | 50.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 49.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 48.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…c048backed LG Twins | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 40.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked LG Twins | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 77c | 37.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…8258backed LG Twins | 66c | 37.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 34.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 33.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 31.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…3965backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed LG Twins | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked LG Twins | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked LG Twins | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 69c | 20.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed LG Twins | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.