NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Canada vs. Norway
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89c08ed3836e4961fb3ea2e1a00595fc3ac7f04376c608cbef8a31ef42e447b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Canada, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Norway | 26c | 11,578$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canada | 53c | 4,501$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.87 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…452fbacked Norway | 16c | 4,000$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canada | 73c | 3,611$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Norway | 22c | 2,469$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Norway | 5c | 1,992$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…03c0backed Norway | 19c | 1,417$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Canada | 71c | 1,289$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Norway | 20c | 1,055$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Canada | 47c | 1,000$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Canada | 51c | 644.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…36b6backed Norway | 59c | 622.04$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Norway | 41c | 613.53$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Norway | 66c | 608.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canada | 69c | 568.41$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Norway | 52c | 534.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Canada | 61c | 529.47$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Norway | 35c | 527.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Norway | 61c | 308.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587e…8dc1backed Norway | 10c | 268.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Norway | 50c | 260.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canada | 55c | 249.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Canada | 48c | 245.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9fe1backed Norway | 13c | 232.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Norway | 71c | 217.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Norway | 52c | 212.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Norway | 49c | 205.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Canada | 50c | 178.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Norway | 58c | 167.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Norway | 59c | 165.96$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Norway | 16c | 154.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Norway | 27c | 143.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Norway | 42c | 142.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Norway | 26c | 136.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Norway | 21c | 113.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Canada | 76c | 106.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…05f9backed Norway | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Canada | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Canada | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norway | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Norway | 36c | 96.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…75dcbacked Norway | 11c | 94.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…e0d5backed Canada | 78c | 86.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…ece5backed Norway | 26c | 85.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Canada | 56c | 71.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Norway | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Norway | 39c | 55.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…7fdebacked Canada | 72c | 53.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Norway | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…80a4backed Norway | 55c | 41.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Norway | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Canada | 79c | 32.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Canada | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Canada | 78c | 26.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…a283backed Canada | 47c | 25.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…ae0dbacked Canada | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Norway | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.