TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Millen Hurrion

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Robert Strombachsof Robert Strombachs, Millen Hurrion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Robert Strombachs63c3,836$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Robert Strombachs46c2,191$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.964753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Millen Hurrion47c1,331$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.42,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1aa…9359backed Millen Hurrion50c1,287$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64520535.1%72 W · 133 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Robert Strombachs57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.061,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Millen Hurrion46c1,200$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.211,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Millen Hurrion30c1,173$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.148,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Millen Hurrion53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5831,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Millen Hurrion43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Robert Strombachs54c893.76$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.131850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Robert Strombachs57c877.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Millen Hurrion42c714.29$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1158745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Millen Hurrion44c714.19$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.248,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Millen Hurrion43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Robert Strombachs61c599.18$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2238931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Robert Strombachs49c582.5$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.082,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Millen Hurrion52c513.14$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.986,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Robert Strombachs37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.754,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Robert Strombachs60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.311,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Millen Hurrion52c465.93$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.575,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Millen Hurrion41c384.24$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.013,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Millen Hurrion53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Robert Strombachs74c373.76$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1823159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Robert Strombachs54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3732851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Robert Strombachs58c358$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3681047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Robert Strombachs43c352.24$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Robert Strombachs51c277$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.732,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Millen Hurrion44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Millen Hurrion41c244.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Robert Strombachs60c241.61$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.723,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Robert Strombachs46c220.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.029,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Millen Hurrion32c212.16$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5166834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Robert Strombachs56c210$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Robert Strombachs62c208.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9833352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Millen Hurrion52c200.43$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.394,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Millen Hurrion60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Millen Hurrion48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9936661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Millen Hurrion40c191.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Millen Hurrion24c189.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.936048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Robert Strombachs57c187.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.692,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Millen Hurrion49c179.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8859253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Millen Hurrion43c173.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4878350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Robert Strombachs59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4958045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…88dbbacked Robert Strombachs59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495052%26 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Robert Strombachs62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2928562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Robert Strombachs64c156.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.071952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Millen Hurrion42c140.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5939254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Millen Hurrion28c139.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Millen Hurrion37c136.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e07…a3f9backed Robert Strombachs77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Strombachs54c128.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Millen Hurrion58c126.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.195,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Millen Hurrion49c123.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.952,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Millen Hurrion39c120.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Millen Hurrion56c120.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Millen Hurrion43c120.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7485637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Millen Hurrion20c110.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6696945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Robert Strombachs27c104.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Millen Hurrion36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Millen Hurrion45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Millen Hurrion54c99.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.024,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Robert Strombachs59c95.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.088450%42 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…ee7ebacked Robert Strombachs49c91.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Robert Strombachs75c83.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.983,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Robert Strombachs49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6344949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Robert Strombachs59c70.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Millen Hurrion41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Millen Hurrion72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.081,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Millen Hurrion50c68.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Robert Strombachs71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Millen Hurrion54c63.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Robert Strombachs57c57.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.063,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Millen Hurrion40c55.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Robert Strombachs54c55.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Millen Hurrion40c54.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1534748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Millen Hurrion40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Millen Hurrion40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed Robert Strombachs52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.083339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Robert Strombachs58c47.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Robert Strombachs42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Millen Hurrion57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7592046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Millen Hurrion44c41.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Robert Strombachs52c39.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8230544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb6…e9afbacked Robert Strombachs39c38.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.272152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Millen Hurrion42c38.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Millen Hurrion52c37.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Millen Hurrion42c36.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5419626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fc…e824backed Robert Strombachs55c36.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.553148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Robert Strombachs56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7194058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Robert Strombachs60c33.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.554,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Robert Strombachs61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7916358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Robert Strombachs61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7920158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Robert Strombachs61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7988560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Millen Hurrion60c30.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3816354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Robert Strombachs62c27.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Millen Hurrion50c25.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.822,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Millen Hurrion64c25.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0852854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebc…095fbacked Millen Hurrion49c22.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Robert Strombachs61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52af…bf0fbacked Millen Hurrion57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.