Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Wawrinka vs Burruchaga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3d2c25e19657b163eb79f9313c3a04becb95e21d4b63b6030159383d0a38cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wawrinkaof Wawrinka, Burruchaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Wawrinka | 54c | 1,377$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 618 | 57.8%357 W · 261 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Burruchaga | 53c | 651.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.71 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Burruchaga | 46c | 423$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Wawrinka | 43c | 376.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Burruchaga | 51c | 367.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Wawrinka | 49c | 367.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Wawrinka | 42c | 342.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Burruchaga | 44c | 284$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 852 | 49.6%423 W · 429 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Burruchaga | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Burruchaga | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Burruchaga | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wawrinka | 46c | 156.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…f161backed Burruchaga | 58c | 154.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Burruchaga | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Wawrinka | 44c | 141.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wawrinka | 43c | 137.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Wawrinka | 44c | 128$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Burruchaga | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Wawrinka | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Burruchaga | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Burruchaga | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 373 | 36.5%136 W · 237 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Burruchaga | 51c | 68.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Wawrinka | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Burruchaga | 58c | 37.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…393dbacked Wawrinka | 41c | 36.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Burruchaga | 58c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Burruchaga | 58c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Burruchaga | 59c | 30.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Burruchaga | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Burruchaga | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 336 | 48.8%164 W · 172 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Wawrinka vs Burruchagathis page
- Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRoman Andres Burruchaga won
- Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Wawrinka won
- Stan Wawrinka vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Wawrinka vs. Burruchaga: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.