Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae02900bd6533df963db11c4210348ea0de422c3909a5594efa5df6c5bb65716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wawrinkaof Burruchaga, Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94be…e0b4backed Burruchaga | 57c | 2,008$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Wawrinka | 43c | 868.47$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.03 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Burruchaga | 3c | 551.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Wawrinka | 58c | 515.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Wawrinka | 40c | 450.95$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Burruchaga | 59c | 408.37$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wawrinka | 41c | 375$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Burruchaga | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Burruchaga | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Wawrinka | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Wawrinka | 43c | 265.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Burruchaga | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wawrinka | 57c | 229.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Wawrinka | 43c | 132.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Wawrinka | 43c | 112.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wawrinka | 43c | 107.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…3c0ebacked Burruchaga | 65c | 88.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Wawrinka | 43c | 64.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Wawrinka | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Wawrinka | 43c | 47.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wawrinka | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Wawrinka | 43c | 44.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Wawrinka | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Burruchaga (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)this page
- Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRoman Andres Burruchaga won
- Set 2 Winner: Wawrinka vs BurruchagaWawrinka won
- Stan Wawrinka vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Wawrinka vs. Burruchaga: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.