Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe524d63574dd74ca6d6119bc3a79e9358bc722f6b9363a93cbd73e76757da69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Medvedev, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Landaluce | 53c | 1,759$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.66 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Medvedev | 52c | 1,538$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.06 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3c…786dbacked Landaluce | 54c | 1,286$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Medvedev | 49c | 1,231$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Medvedev | 53c | 1,145$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.06 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Medvedev | 54c | 970.65$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Landaluce | 54c | 954.17$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.26 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Landaluce | 54c | 685.61$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.38 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Medvedev | 52c | 612.23$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.26 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Landaluce | 46c | 607.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.3 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Landaluce | 48c | 607.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.76 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Landaluce | 53c | 568.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Medvedev | 51c | 558.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Medvedev | 51c | 490.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Medvedev | 47c | 474.78$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.92 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Landaluce | 51c | 471.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Landaluce | 49c | 465.08$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.49 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Medvedev | 51c | 406.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Landaluce | 53c | 379.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Medvedev | 51c | 276.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev | 46c | 257.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.41 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Landaluce | 52c | 207$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Medvedev | 49c | 205.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Landaluce | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Landaluce | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Medvedev | 48c | 153.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Landaluce | 53c | 113.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Landaluce | 54c | 110.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…327bbacked Landaluce | 53c | 103.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Medvedev | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Medvedev | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Landaluce | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Medvedev | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Medvedev | 50c | 87.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Landaluce | 48c | 77.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…393dbacked Landaluce | 50c | 67.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Landaluce | 53c | 66.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Medvedev | 48c | 60.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Medvedev | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Landaluce | 64c | 52.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Medvedev | 46c | 51.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Landaluce | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Medvedev | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Landaluce | 52c | 48.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Landaluce | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Medvedev | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Medvedev | 45c | 33.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Medvedev | 45c | 33.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Medvedev | 47c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Medvedev | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…87d3backed Landaluce | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…1281backed Medvedev | 48c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Landaluce | 53c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Landaluce | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Landaluce vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Landaluce vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Landaluce vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Landaluce vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs MedvedevLandaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.