Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0328ad5e65d5c4ea20cfb11ad852a7e3cdd2dcba352458f2aa08259ab631ff92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 1,811$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.03 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 1,718$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.06 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 24c | 1,211$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 699.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 442$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.83 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 57c | 292.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.51 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 46c | 281.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 252.38$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 40c | 196.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 14c | 152$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 149.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 68c | 147.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 59c | 106.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 71c | 88.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…393dbacked Under | 69c | 86.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 18c | 68.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 48.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 45.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 42c | 33.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 48c | 27.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.