TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ittihad Saudi Clubof Al Ettifaq Saudi Club, Al Ittihad Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,847 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30be…9c47backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c1,460$64 inLost-$64.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c93…ca6bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c1,409$62 inLost-$6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89af…8077backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c1,380$61 inLost-$60.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…4e23backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c1,376$61 inLost-$60.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d4…4f8abacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c1,211$53 inLost-$53.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…5aa1backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club3c992$25 inLost-$24.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5423…3cc7backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club2c988$20 inLost-$19.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202f…267fbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club3c983$25 inLost-$24.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810a…cf2ebacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club2c983$15 inLost-$14.7520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94a…5457backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club3c982.88$25 inLost-$24.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5e…26c0backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club2c981.99$15 inLost-$14.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d0c…53ecbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c980$34 inLost-$34.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…b7f5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club4c979.99$34 inLost-$34.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ee…af7bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club2c977$20 inLost-$19.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…1955backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club3c961$24 inLost-$24.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.