Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82192344e2ca8070d2f5abac52d603a13e78346615a62161fcec2870f76ea4c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 15c | 6,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 37c | 1,800$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.96 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 1,055$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.8 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 42c | 929.48$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 42c | 565.5$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 59c | 521.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 42c | 451.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 63c | 387$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 366.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 14c | 348$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 16c | 228.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 63c | 226.02$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 58c | 191.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 16c | 189.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 166.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 45c | 154.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 20c | 145.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 58c | 119.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 58c | 115.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 82.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 70c | 77.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 40c | 70.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 38c | 52.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 23c | 44.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 63c | 26.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 62c | 26.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 59c | 20.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 16.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.