South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75bc423d25c03358e8fa33823a45de345ce660683af2c05f814e5ef7189917c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 394.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Yes | 49c | 352.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 313.15$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 249.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 239.22$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 225.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 51c | 140.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 112.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 34c | 63.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 48c | 62.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…56a2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 47c | 49.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked No | 53c | 40.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed No | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.