TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64ce…944bbacked Over44c53,722$23,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,637.4960%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c11,498$6,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under56c9,997$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.7710741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under56c4,554$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.577244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under56c4,079$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.572544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c3,200$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under56c2,400$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under56c2,159$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.934143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.293345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Under56c1,294$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.151776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+36.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under56c1,095$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2311059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under56c1,002$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.836350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c1,001$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.118,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c996.07$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.285,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c759.5$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1811551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under56c742$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.4812754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over40c726.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c724.29$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9318358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under56c593.64$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.23243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c520$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c520$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c446.04$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over43c422.51$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.159148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under61c329.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.039652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over43c299.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.449229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c280$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under57c228.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9823549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c214$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.532,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8221837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over18c194.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed Over17c141.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…01fdbacked Under57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.583,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under60c84.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.710450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over17c82.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.783,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.213465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over40c74.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Over43c73.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.783432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under70c72.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c71.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.032,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under60c67.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under60c67.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over38c64.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.452,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c60.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over43c58.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under60c48.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.517048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over43c46.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under62c45.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.355646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over44c45.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Under57c45.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over41c40.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.74736.2%17 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under56c39.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Under59c33.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+54.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3338861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under56c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0817960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under72c27.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.727554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under57c26.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6712948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.819460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf32…6cf3backed Under70c17.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.