Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4c73f0660420455a79bfd8d4deadf70373315d2d9d88557f16218ca825e18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 12,045$6,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,038.51 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 3,261$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 3,205$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,287$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 2,261$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.32 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 38c | 1,601$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.54 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 1,076$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 984.53$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 809.12$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 62c | 688.64$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.34 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 688.23$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 38c | 320.16$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 37c | 301.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 231.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 45c | 186.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 51c | 113.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 51c | 93.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Over | 33c | 85.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 81.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 76.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 45c | 68.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 67.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 62c | 64.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 54.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 40.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 43c | 34.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…53d5backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5this page
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.