Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97f6478e6bc0a44f9b57b665c1136bbbf0ecb3948bcd6a794c5b704a4c163573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,331$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,265$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 607.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 20c | 176.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 79c | 174.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 144.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 70c | 140.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 101.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 50c | 58.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 56c | 51.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 45c | 43.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 39c | 41.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 31.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 18.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Yes | 78c | 13.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 78c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.