Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb62446475130e2b3849eaec47f017a431a574f47ab43cc25f647247395178bcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 3,292$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.36 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 1,187$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 1,018$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 752.07$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 740.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 66c | 602.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 17c | 478$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.12 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 473.68$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 467.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.35 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 54c | 373.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 344.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 46c | 308$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 274.18$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 58c | 232.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Over | 78c | 195.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Over | 78c | 189.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 151.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 144.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 34c | 128.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 48c | 103.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 67c | 102.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 68c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 45c | 60.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 59.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 58c | 50.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 45c | 44.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 65c | 33.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Over | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 71c | 21.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Under | 69c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Over | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5this page
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Luxembourg won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Luxembourg (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.