Fifa International · resolved market
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe734a421b5d19d4f5aa52c6b5d422d2d0bea5b06fd13317f73f5cddca7e75df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 4,139$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 60c | 3,164$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.39 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,029$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 61c | 1,505$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 40c | 1,367$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.32 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 1,357$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 706.4$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.13 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 24c | 670.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.8 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 76c | 656.11$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 402.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 29c | 372.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 329.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 43c | 299.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 76c | 297.05$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 24c | 239.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 24c | 205.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Over | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 24c | 184.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.03 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 30c | 162$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 39c | 130.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 76c | 129$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 30c | 123.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 74c | 119.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 108.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…0f46backed Under | 65c | 104.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 101$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 100.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 87.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Over | 41c | 73.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 42c | 71.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 69.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 23c | 68.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 62.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 61.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…a929backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 59.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Over | 71c | 45.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 43.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 34.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Over | 44c | 31.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Over | 48c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…bffebacked Under | 78c | 18.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 71c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 67c | 16.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5this page
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cayman Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.