Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7545e02e21d51bcadc199814b1bff62787bf70e34ec2e6a3431ced0ef64b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibraltarof Gibraltar, Cayman Islands
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gibraltar | 33c | 1,175$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Gibraltar | 35c | 1,039$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cayman Islands | 80c | 983.61$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.89 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Cayman Islands | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Cayman Islands | 65c | 599.79$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.09 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cayman Islands | 33c | 421.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gibraltar | 58c | 384.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Cayman Islands | 71c | 384.7$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cayman Islands | 46c | 347.36$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gibraltar | 31c | 332.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gibraltar | 25c | 330$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.39 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cayman Islands | 19c | 306.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gibraltar | 37c | 299.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gibraltar | 31c | 294$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cayman Islands | 62c | 289.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Gibraltar | 38c | 277.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cayman Islands | 63c | 240$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Cayman Islands | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Cayman Islands | 69c | 139.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Gibraltar | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cayman Islands | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Gibraltar | 36c | 117.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gibraltar | 21c | 111.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Gibraltar | 37c | 100.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Cayman Islands | 68c | 91.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Cayman Islands | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Cayman Islands | 63c | 55.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cayman Islands | 62c | 55.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gibraltar | 39c | 49.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Gibraltar | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Gibraltar | 43c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Cayman Islands | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Gibraltar | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Cayman Islands | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Cayman Islands | 79c | 14.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gibraltar (-2.5)this page
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cayman Islands (-1.5)Gibraltar won
- Spread: Gibraltar (-1.5)Gibraltar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.