Fifa International · resolved market
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119dedc5bfaf0bcd9bc94c677e368a4da543da3252102e7d56894910c682c111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 3,455$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 63c | 2,933$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 2,853$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.07 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 2,057$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 1,895$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.77 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 38c | 525.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 28c | 454$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 10c | 341.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 8c | 328.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 10c | 308.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…8360backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 71c | 212.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 172.22$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 69c | 163.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 79c | 143.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f9…b000backed Under | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 35c | 131.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 12c | 125.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 77c | 89.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 34c | 83.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…0da9backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 0.5this page
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 1.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 3.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 4.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)Malta won
- Spread: Malta (-1.5)Malta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.