Fifa International · resolved market
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb80e97ff2ce1d87612958bb1f5e0c09cb09c252aa5f71fc35f4a1486139681e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,359$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 23c | 3,312$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.23 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 2,810$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 17c | 1,288$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 76c | 978.04$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 34c | 899.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 3c | 889.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 217 | 22.1%48 W · 169 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 889.44$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 605.21$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 8c | 439.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 19c | 387.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 314.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 35c | 302.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 26c | 299.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 44c | 298.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 26c | 239.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 27c | 183.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 40c | 174.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 59c | 169.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 40c | 157.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 21c | 133.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 127.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 31c | 122.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 114.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 112.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 100.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 84.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 41c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 74c | 37.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Under | 79c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 70c | 21.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 59c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5this page
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 0.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 1.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 3.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 4.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)Malta won
- Spread: Malta (-1.5)Malta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.